Bitcoin Cycle Peak Still to Come, Says New Market Analysis

Bitcoin is projected to bottom somewhere between $70,000 and $80,000, avoiding more dramatic declines.
The current pullback looks like a normal cooldown inside a broader bull cycle.
Long-term expectations remain strongly optimistic, with future valuations seen much higher than today.

Instead of forecasting a plunge into the mid-$50K range, the analyst believes Bitcoin is undergoing a controlled reset near the upper price bands. In his view, the most probable outcomes still fit perfectly within a larger bullish pattern.

His model treats the correction as a probability distribution rather than an emotional reaction. The highest probability zone sits between $70K and $80K. Below $70K, the likelihood drops sharply. A move to $60K–$70K remains possible but less likely; $50K–$60K is considered improbable; and anything under $50K is deemed statistically “near impossible.”

Under this framework, the current decline is painful but far from a structural breakdown.

The analyst emphasizes that he isn’t trying to time every price swing. He sees Bitcoin as a long-term investment, expecting exponential returns over several years rather than quick gains. He even stated that he wouldn’t sell most of his holdings until reaching a 100x return on his original cost — a target he believes could be achieved within five to ten years.

From that perspective, even a price around $126,000 doesn’t look expensive compared to his long-term vision.

He also argues that Bitcoin has not yet shown the typical signals of a cycle top. Based on his timeline, the real peak is more likely in 2026 or 2027. That would make today’s pullback just another mid-cycle correction rather than the end of the bull run.

Still, he stresses that markets work on probabilities — not destiny — and all projections could shift as new data arrives.